# EdgeMarket

> EdgeMarket reads the capital that arrives first in prediction markets and crypto —
> whale positioning, order flow, funding, liquidations — and publishes the measurement
> behind every claim, including the cases where the edge disappears.

Prediction-market traders lost roughly $131M net across about two million Polymarket
addresses while bots took the gains (Bloomberg, 28 April 2026). That base rate is why this
product exists, and it is also why every number here ships with its coverage, its hit rate
and its failure cases. That is the distribution you are entering, not evidence you will
beat it.

## The three instruments

- **Whale Radar** — continuous surveillance of the wallets that move markets. Operators are ranked by *measured alpha*, not by displayed P&L.
- **Crypto Oracle** — a five-minute directional call on BTC, ETH, SOL and XRP, scored against the settled outcome. The full calibration table, all eight confidence bands, is public and needs no account.
- **Market structure** — funding, open interest and liquidations across venues.

Also: market pulse (live sentiment on X, asset by asset, with the posts behind each score), chart analysis for crypto, forex and equities, and a Telegram alert stream at a threshold you set.

## Pricing

- **Observer — $0/month, permanent.** The public register with its limits, the full Oracle calibration table, the live trade tape (not delayed), spot quotes and candles for the top fifty crypto assets, wallet audit, and funding, open interest and liquidations across four venues. Signals are **not** delivered live on this tier.
- **Operator — $39/month.** Signals at emission rather than at resolution, consensus among tracked operators, market pulse, alpha-ranked entities, budgeted Telegram alerts, long/short positioning history.
- **Principal — $79/month.** Adds chart analysis and the raw series behind the screens.
- Annual billing charges 10 months for 12 — 2 months free, 16% off.
- Prices are in US dollars, tax included: the amount shown is the amount charged. Both paid tiers cover prediction markets *and* crypto — you do not buy the half you do not use.

## What it does not do

- It does not place trades, hold funds, or connect to your exchange account.
- It is not investment advice. Nothing here is a promise of profit, and the base rate above is published precisely because it is not.
- Coverage is Polymarket and crypto venues. Not equities order flow, not sports books.

## Pages

- [Home](https://edgemarket.co/en)
- [Pricing](https://edgemarket.co/en/pricing)
- [Oracle](https://edgemarket.co/en/oracle)
- [Btc eth sol xrp 5min polymarket predictor](https://edgemarket.co/en/btc-eth-sol-xrp-5min-polymarket-predictor)
- [Tools](https://edgemarket.co/en/tools)
- [Polymarket chrome extension](https://edgemarket.co/en/polymarket-chrome-extension)
- [Learn](https://edgemarket.co/en/learn)
- [Best polymarket analytics tools](https://edgemarket.co/en/best-polymarket-analytics-tools)
- [Guides](https://edgemarket.co/en/guides)
- [Polymarket whale tracker](https://edgemarket.co/en/polymarket-whale-tracker)
- [Blog](https://edgemarket.co/en/blog)
- [Crypto prediction signals](https://edgemarket.co/en/crypto-prediction-signals)
- [About](https://edgemarket.co/en/about)
- [Polymarket tools](https://edgemarket.co/en/polymarket-tools)
- [Faq](https://edgemarket.co/en/faq)
- [How to track polymarket whales](https://edgemarket.co/en/how-to-track-polymarket-whales)
- [Changelog](https://edgemarket.co/en/changelog)
- [Polymarketscan alternative](https://edgemarket.co/en/polymarketscan-alternative)
- [Status](https://edgemarket.co/en/status)
- [Polywhaler alternative](https://edgemarket.co/en/polywhaler-alternative)
- [Contact](https://edgemarket.co/en/contact)
- [Refer](https://edgemarket.co/en/refer)
- [Terms](https://edgemarket.co/en/terms)
- [Privacy](https://edgemarket.co/en/privacy)
- [Disclaimer](https://edgemarket.co/en/disclaimer)
- [Refund](https://edgemarket.co/en/refund)

## Free tools, no account

- [Odds converter](https://edgemarket.co/en/tools/odds-converter)
- [Kelly position size](https://edgemarket.co/en/tools/kelly-position-size)
- [Funding cost](https://edgemarket.co/en/tools/funding-cost)
- [Liquidation price](https://edgemarket.co/en/tools/liquidation-price)

## Learn — how these markets work

- [How prediction markets work](https://edgemarket.co/en/learn/how-prediction-markets-work): What a 0–1 share is, how pairs are minted and merged, where the liquidity comes from, what happens at resolution, and why an exchange is not a bookmaker.
- [Order book depth: reading a level-2 book](https://edgemarket.co/en/learn/reading-an-order-book): Order book depth explained: how to read depth data at each level, what the spread and imbalance tell you, top of book versus depth of book, and why displayed liquidity is never available liquidity.
- [Funding rates explained](https://edgemarket.co/en/learn/funding-rates-explained): Why a perpetual needs funding, how the rate is built from premium and interest, how to read it as a positioning gauge, and why the interval differs by venue.
- [Liquidations and cascades](https://edgemarket.co/en/learn/liquidations-and-cascades): Margin, maintenance margin and forced flow: how one liquidation triggers the next, how to read a liquidation heatmap, and why wicks reach into clusters.
- [Calibration: why a 70% forecast should be wrong 30% of the time](https://edgemarket.co/en/learn/forecast-calibration): What calibration means, how it differs from accuracy, how to read a reliability diagram, and why a calibrated 55% beats a miscalibrated “90% accurate”.

## Guides — how to use the product

- [Getting started](https://edgemarket.co/en/guides/getting-started): Open an account, read the dashboard menu group by group, and learn the two reading conventions every screen here follows before you rely on a single figure.
- [Reading the operators board](https://edgemarket.co/en/guides/reading-the-operators-board): How the Polymarket operators board is ranked, what the scope banner is telling you, how to read the consensus block, and what an operator sheet refuses to estimate.
- [Finding a market](https://edgemarket.co/en/guides/finding-a-market): How the two flow rankings differ, why one names its window and the other does not, how the indexed directory pages, and the three things this screen will not claim.
- [Setting up alerts](https://edgemarket.co/en/guides/setting-up-alerts): Link a delivery channel, set what makes a trade worth an interruption, and see why an account can be linked and still receive nothing at all.

## Writing

- [Five ways a large position gets built, and what each leaves on the tape](https://edgemarket.co/en/blog/how-large-positions-are-built-and-unwound): Accumulation, the single print, the scale-in, the quiet exit and the hedge that looks like a reversal — and, for each, what the tape cannot distinguish it from.
- [What a prediction-market order book does that a crypto book does not](https://edgemarket.co/en/blog/prediction-market-order-books): A prediction-market book is thin, and depth sits where the price already is. What the spread costs you, and why size at the touch is the number that matters.
- [Crypto funding rates and open interest: the pair, the units, and the plumbing](https://edgemarket.co/en/blog/crypto-funding-rates-and-open-interest): Crypto funding rates price leverage, open interest counts it. Reading the pair across four venues, why raw rates are not comparable, and what the collection layer decides.
- [Seven ways copying a wallet goes wrong](https://edgemarket.co/en/blog/mistakes-when-copying-a-wallet): Survivorship, one-legged positions, a spread you cross twice and a horizon that is not yours. Seven ways a copied position stops resembling the one it was copied from.
- [Prediction market signals: what a hit rate is worth without its denominator](https://edgemarket.co/en/blog/prediction-market-signals): What a prediction market signal actually is, how a hit rate is built, and why a percentage published without its coverage and its sample size is not a measurement.
- [What 'smart money' means in a prediction market, and what it does not](https://edgemarket.co/en/blog/what-smart-money-actually-means): A leaderboard sorted by win rate is noise: a quarter of our wallet store shows exactly 100%, most on a single market. What has to be measured first.
- [Polymarket whale tracking: telling a wallet that matters from a wallet that is merely large](https://edgemarket.co/en/blog/polymarket-whale-tracking): Polymarket whale tracking is a measurement problem, not a feed problem: how to find a wallet whose trades move price, and what a public leaderboard hides.
- [The tools a prediction-market trader actually needs](https://edgemarket.co/en/blog/prediction-market-trading-tools): Most of the stack is free, and a spreadsheet does more than most paid products. What each category of tool is for, and where paid data actually starts to matter.
- [Why most prediction-market traders lose money](https://edgemarket.co/en/blog/why-most-prediction-market-traders-lose): Bloomberg put the net loss across ~2 million Polymarket addresses at $131M. The mechanisms behind that number are specific, measurable, and mostly cost.
- [What funding rates say about positioning, and how crowded trades unwind](https://edgemarket.co/en/blog/funding-rates-and-positioning): Funding is the price of leverage, not a forecast. Reading it against open interest, why percentiles beat levels, and the mechanics of a liquidation cascade.
- [How to read a level-2 order book, and what imbalance really tells you](https://edgemarket.co/en/blog/reading-an-l2-order-book): The arithmetic behind order-flow signals: imbalance windows, the microprice, the four ways displayed depth misleads, and how to sample a book honestly.

## Public API — read endpoints, no key

Base: `https://api.edgemarket.co`

- `GET /api/stats` — markets tracked, trades today, wallets tracked, biggest trade today.
- `GET /api/feed` — the live trade tape.
- `GET /api/leaderboard` and `/api/leaderboard/smart` — operators, ranked.
- `GET /api/markets/hot`, `/api/markets/trending`, `/api/markets/heatmap`
- `GET /api/oracle/public` and `/api/oracle/history/public` — the register and its resolved history.
- `GET /api/analytics/pnl-leaderboard`, `/api/analytics/volume-timeline`
- `GET /api/health`

Everything else on that host needs a session. `/api/operators/ranking` and `/api/alerts/status` answer 401 without one.

## Optional

- [Blog feed (RSS)](https://edgemarket.co/blog/rss.xml)
- [Sitemap](https://edgemarket.co/sitemap.xml): every indexable page, in every translated language.

The site is published in 13 languages: English (`en`), Español (`es`), 简体中文 (`zh-Hans`), Русский (`ru`), Français (`fr`), Deutsch (`de`), 한국어 (`ko`), 日本語 (`ja`), Português (`pt-BR`), हिन्दी (`hi`), Bahasa (`id`), Tiếng Việt (`vi`), Türkçe (`tr`). Replace `/en/` in any link above with the language code.