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About

EdgeMarket is a market-intelligence product from Yando Pte. Ltd. It covers two areas in roughly equal measure: prediction markets on Polymarket, and crypto market structure for BTC, ETH, SOL and XRP across Binance, Bybit, OKX and Hyperliquid. This page is about how the numbers behind it are produced — and how you can check them without taking our word for anything.

What this page does not contain

No headcount, no founding story, no funding total, no customer count, no client logos, no testimonials. Those numbers are easy to write and impossible for you to check, and a company that invents them here will invent them on a results page too. One rule governs both: what has not been measured does not get published.

No headcountNo founding storyNo funding totalNo customer countNo client logosNo testimonials

The rule: no number we have not measured

Every figure on this site comes from stored rows and is reproducible from the query that produced it. When a sentence needs a number we do not have, the sentence gets written without the number. That is not modesty — it is the only thing that makes the rest of the site worth reading.

The public register is where that rule is visible rather than asserted. It prints the hit rate — 83.4% on slots with a known outcome — next to the share of slots whose outcome could never be retrieved, 42.6%, at the same size. The second figure is what makes the first comparable from one month to the next, and the register carries the same treatment further down: the monthly coverage, the eight calibration bands including the two where the market beats us, and the split that shows which stage of the signal earns the rate.

Hit rate, verified slots
83.4%
Excluded from the rate
42.6%

Both figures are read from the public register. The second is not an error rate — it is the share of slots removed from the first rather than scored as correct. This page cites the register; it does not compute it, and it adds nothing to it.

Read the public register

How a number gets onto this site

  1. Measured in the database, not in a slide

    A figure starts as a query over stored rows — one row per slot, per trade, per sample. If it cannot be expressed that way, it does not become a figure on the site.

  2. Published with what it excludes

    Every rate ships with its denominator and with the part of the data it does not cover. Slots with no retrievable outcome are recorded as unknown and excluded, never silently scored as wrong.

  3. Taken from a single snapshot

    The register’s figures all come from one snapshot read in one transaction, and the page prints its timestamp. Numbers read hours apart stop adding up, and a total that does not reconcile destroys the only thing the page is for.

  4. Left in place when it is unflattering

    The calibration table publishes all eight price bands, including the two where the market prices the outcome better than the signal does. Dropping them would turn a measurement into a brochure.

What is in scope

Two areas, weighted roughly equally. Prediction markets on Polymarket: the wallets that actually move prices, resolved to persistent identities and scored against their own measured history. Crypto market structure for BTC, ETH, SOL and XRP across Binance, Bybit, OKX and Hyperliquid: order book, funding, open interest, liquidations and positioning. Forex and equities are out of scope, and saying so plainly is cheaper than pretending to cover them.

What EdgeMarket is not

It is not financial advice, and it is not a trading system. EdgeMarket places no orders, routes nothing to any venue, holds no funds and takes custody of nothing. It publishes measurements; every decision and every order stays yours.

Who publishes this

EdgeMarket is published by Yando Pte. Ltd. Questions, disputes and corrections about any figure on this site go to the same address as everything else — and a correction to a published number is the one kind of message that jumps the queue.

support@edgemarket.co

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